GGOALVIO

Raków Częstochowa logoRaków CzęstochowavsSturm Graz logoSturm Graz

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Raków Częstochowa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raków CzęstochowaWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Raków CzęstochowaSturm Graz
16.7Attack22.2
44.4Defence50.0
22.2Form22.2
31.0Power34.5
1.13xG1.04
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