GGOALVIO

Raków Częstochowa logoRaków CzęstochowavsSporting CP logoSporting CP

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Raków Częstochowa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting CP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raków CzęstochowaLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Raków CzęstochowaSporting CP
16.7Attack53.3
44.4Defence63.3
22.2Form53.3
31.0Power58.1
0.78xG1.67
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