GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Raków Częstochowa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Raków Częstochowa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Raków Częstochowa holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Raków Częstochowa

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

12.8%

Raków Częstochowa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raków CzęstochowaWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HNK Hajduk SplitWDWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Raków CzęstochowaHNK Hajduk Split
66.7Attack100.0
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form100.0
80.0Power90.7
1.60xG1.26
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