Raków Częstochowavs
HNK Hajduk Split
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raków Częstochowa 2-3 HNK Hajduk Split
Original prediction
Raków Częstochowa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.0% | 44.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.2% | 26.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.8% | 29.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Raków Częstochowa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00