Raków Częstochowavs
HNK Hajduk Split
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Raków Częstochowa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Raków Częstochowa holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
12.8%
Raków Częstochowa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00