Raków Częstochowavs
GKS Katowice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raków Częstochowa 1-4 GKS Katowice
Original prediction
GKS Katowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.9% | 26.2% | -19.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.8% | 19.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 29.3% | 54.2% | 24.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
GKS Katowice
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00