GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Raków Częstochowa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Raków Częstochowa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Raków Częstochowa hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the UEFA Champions League, while Raków Częstochowa holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Raków Częstochowa

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Raków Częstochowa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raków CzęstochowaWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Flora TallinnDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Raków CzęstochowaFlora Tallinn
50.0Attack66.7
75.0Defence16.7
70.8Form16.7
67.4Power36.5
2.01xG0.84
View match centre →