GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Raków Częstochowa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atalanta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raków CzęstochowaLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtalantaWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Raków CzęstochowaAtalanta
16.7Attack64.1
44.4Defence79.5
22.2Form71.8
31.0Power71.6
0.54xG2.10
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