Raków Częstochowa U19vs
Lech Poznań U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raków Częstochowa U19 1-0 Lech Poznań U19
Original prediction
Raków Częstochowa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 25.7% | 46.0% | 20.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.2% | 23.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 51.2% | 30.7% | -20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa U19
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Raków Częstochowa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80