Raków Częstochowa U19vs
Arkonia U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raków Częstochowa U19 1-2 Arkonia U19
Original prediction
Raków Częstochowa U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 45.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 26.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.7% | 27.7% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa U19
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Raków Częstochowa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80