Rakow IIvs
Warta Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rakow II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rakow II 3-2 Warta Gorzów
Original prediction
Rakow II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.9% | 44.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 24.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 30.9% | 30.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Rakow II
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Rakow II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40