Raja Casablancavs
El Kanemi Warriors
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raja Casablanca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raja Casablanca 2-0 El Kanemi Warriors
Original prediction
Raja Casablanca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.6% | 47.4% | -38.2 pts |
| Draw | 8.71 | 10.4% | 24.4% | 13.9 pts |
| Away | 23.00 | 4.0% | 28.2% | 24.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-38.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Raja Casablanca
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Raja Casablanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20