Raja Casablancavs
CR Khemis Zemamra
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raja Casablanca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Raja Casablanca 2-0 CR Khemis Zemamra, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Raja Casablanca 1-0 CR Khemis Zemamra
Original prediction
Raja Casablanca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 55.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 25.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.85 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Raja Casablanca 2–0 CR Khemis Zemamra
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Raja Casablanca
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Raja Casablanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00