GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 9/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Raith Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Raith Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Queen's Park are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Raith Rovers hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Championship, while Raith Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Raith Rovers

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raith RoversWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Queen's ParkLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Raith RoversQueen's Park
50.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power21.5
1.63xG0.83
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