GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Raith Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Raith Rovers are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Morton are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Raith Rovers hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Championship, while Raith Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Raith Rovers

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raith RoversDWDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MortonWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Raith RoversMorton
50.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence50.0
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power21.5
1.52xG0.83
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