Raith Roversvs
Livingston
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raith Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Raith Rovers 1-0 Livingston, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Raith Rovers 0-2 Livingston
Original prediction
Raith Rovers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.0% | 41.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 29.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.5% | 28.7% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Raith Rovers 1–0 Livingston
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Raith Rovers
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00