Raith Roversvs
Arbroath
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raith Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Raith Rovers 0-0 Arbroath, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Raith Rovers 4-0 Arbroath
Original prediction
Raith Rovers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.2% | 45.7% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.6% | 29.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 18.1% | 24.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Projected Score
Raith Rovers 0–0 Arbroath
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Raith Rovers
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Raith RoversWLWWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ArbroathDWWDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Raith RoversArbroath
46.7Attack26.7
80.0Defence73.3
66.7Form53.3
66.0Power54.1
1.09xG0.66