GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Raith Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Raith Rovers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Albion Rovers are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Raith Rovers hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the League Cup, while Raith Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Raith Rovers

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Raith Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Raith RoversDWDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Albion RoversW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Raith RoversAlbion Rovers
41.7Attack25.0
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form25.0
66.3Power31.6
1.95xG0.88
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