GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/25/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechLDLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SonthofenLLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Rain / LechSonthofen
42.2Attack52.0
47.1Defence51.0
43.1Form44.1
46.1Power49.7
1.33xG1.54
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