GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/4/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Schwaben Augsburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Schwaben AugsburgLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rain / LechSchwaben Augsburg
42.2Attack74.5
47.1Defence65.7
43.1Form65.7
46.1Power66.9
0.89xG2.32
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