GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/30/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nordlingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechDDLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenWLWWD

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechNordlingen
42.2Attack64.7
47.1Defence51.0
43.1Form56.9
46.1Power57.5
1.30xG1.97
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