GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenDLLWW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechNordlingen
42.2Attack64.7
47.1Defence51.0
43.1Form56.9
46.1Power57.5
1.30xG1.97
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