GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/23/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kirchheimer SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kirchheimer SCLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 23 · avg 1.40/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rain / LechKirchheimer SC
42.2Attack37.3
47.1Defence9.8
43.1Form14.7
46.1Power23.2
2.48xG1.02
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