GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/4/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ismaning are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IsmaningDLLDW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechIsmaning
42.2Attack33.3
47.1Defence46.7
43.1Form26.7
46.1Power37.7
1.48xG1.21
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