GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/3/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Heimstetten are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenWLWWW

GF 24 · GA 10 · avg 4.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rain / LechHeimstetten
42.2Attack53.3
47.1Defence53.3
43.1Form46.7
46.1Power53.0
1.32xG1.56
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