GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 2/24/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HeimstettenDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rain / LechHeimstetten
42.2Attack53.3
47.1Defence53.3
43.1Form46.7
46.1Power53.0
1.32xG1.56
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