GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/11/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Garching are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GarchingLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechGarching
42.2Attack36.3
47.1Defence15.7
43.1Form21.6
46.1Power28.0
2.44xG1.01
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