Rain / Lechvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/20/2024, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rain / Lech are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00