Rain / Lechvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/21/2023, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rain / Lech are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40