GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/25/2023, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rain / Lech are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dachau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rain / LechDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
DachauLLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rain / LechDachau
42.2Attack52.0
47.1Defence32.4
43.1Form40.2
46.1Power42.3
1.88xG1.51
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