Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-4 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Raelingen 1-0 Lyn II
Original prediction
Lyn II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.7% | 37.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 18.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.6% | 44.0% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.3–46%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Lyn II
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Lyn II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RaelingenLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lyn IIDLLWL
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RaelingenLyn II
63.3Attack78.3
18.3Defence23.3
46.7Form50.0
44.6Power50.4
3.28xG3.79