Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Raelingen are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Elverum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/3.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40