Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rače · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rače 1-2 Videm
Original prediction
Rače
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 43.1% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 25.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 31.9% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Rače
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Rače has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RačeLDLDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
VidemLLWLL
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RačeVidem
25.0Attack50.0
58.3Defence8.3
16.7Form25.0
36.5Power31.6
1.84xG1.36