Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fužinar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rače 1-0 Fužinar
Original prediction
Fužinar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.8% | 37.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.6% | 21.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.6% | 41.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Fužinar
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Fužinar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RačeDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FužinarWDWWW
GF 21 · GA 13 · avg 4.20/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
RačeFužinar
37.0Attack100.0
63.0Defence22.2
37.0Form70.4
47.9Power64.8
1.80xG1.90