Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radomlje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomlje 1-1 Mura
Original prediction
Radomlje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.7% | 45.9% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 22.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.3% | 31.2% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Radomlje
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Radomlje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RadomljeWDDLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MuraDDDLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RadomljeMura
42.4Attack33.3
30.3Defence33.3
21.2Form30.3
34.0Power35.3
1.81xG1.29