Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Radomlje 0-1 Maribor, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomlje 0-3 Maribor
Original prediction
Maribor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.87 | 18.8% | 12.3% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.5% | 20.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.8% | 67.0% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Radomlje 0–1 Maribor
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RadomljeLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MariborDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RadomljeMaribor
30.6Attack63.9
52.8Defence70.4
30.6Form64.8
40.0Power65.9
0.54xG1.79