Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Radomlje are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maribor are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the 1. SNL, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00