Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koper · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomlje 3-3 Koper
Original prediction
Koper
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.9% | 31.6% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 28.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.4% | 40.3% | -12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Koper
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Koper has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RadomljeLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KoperWWWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RadomljeKoper
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.24xG1.30