Radomiak Radomvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomiak Radom 7-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 29.9% | -22.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.2% | 24.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.3% | 45.8% | 21.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60