Radomiak Radomvs
Piast Gliwice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomiak Radom 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.7% | 36.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.8% | 26.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.6% | 36.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00