Radomiak Radomvs
Motor Lublin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motor Lublin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin
Original prediction
Motor Lublin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 39.1% | 30.9% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.7% | 26.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.2% | 42.9% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Motor Lublin
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40