GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moncarapachense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Radomiak Radom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Moncarapachense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Moncarapachense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Moncarapachense holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moncarapachense

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Moncarapachense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Radomiak RadomWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MoncarapachenseWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Radomiak RadomMoncarapachense
30.0Attack33.3
40.0Defence66.7
10.0Form33.3
29.2Power45.3
0.96xG1.82
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