Radomiak Radomvs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/29/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cracovia Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow
Original prediction
Cracovia Krakow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.7% | 35.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.6% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.7% | 36.6% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cracovia Krakow
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Cracovia Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00