Radnik Surdulicavs
Radnicki NIS
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radnik Surdulica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Radnicki NIS, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Surdulica 3-0 Radnicki NIS
Original prediction
Radnik Surdulica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.4% | 53.4% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 26.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 20.5% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Projected Score
Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Radnicki NIS
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Radnik Surdulica
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Radnik Surdulica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60