Radnik Surdulicavs
FK Partizan
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radnik Surdulica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Surdulica 4-4 FK Partizan
Original prediction
Radnik Surdulica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 25.7% | 40.2% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 25.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.4% | 34.8% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Radnik Surdulica
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Radnik Surdulica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00