Radnik Surdulicavs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.26 | 9.8% | 23.7% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.61 | 16.2% | 24.9% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 74.0% | 51.4% | -22.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20