Radnik Surdulicavs
Cukaricki
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cukaricki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Surdulica 3-1 Cukaricki
Original prediction
Cukaricki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.8% | 34.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 29.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.7% | 36.0% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Cukaricki
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Cukaricki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20