Radnik Bijeljinavs
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Bijeljina 3-1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Original prediction
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.9% | 29.9% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.2% | 25.1% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 45.0% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00