Radnik Bijeljinavs
FK Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnik Bijeljina 1-1 FK Sarajevo
Original prediction
FK Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.69 | 24.5% | 28.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.1% | 28.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.4% | 42.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
FK Sarajevo
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
FK Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60