GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Radnicki 1923 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Radnicki 1923 1-0 Radnik Surdulica

Original prediction

Radnicki 1923

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7950.5%48.3%-2.2 pts
Draw3.3726.9%24.8%-2.1 pts
Away4.0122.6%26.9%4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Radnicki 1923

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Radnicki 1923 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Radnicki 1923LLWWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Radnik SurdulicaWLDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Radnicki 1923Radnik Surdulica
51.5Attack47.2
57.6Defence55.6
51.5Form47.2
53.1Power51.3
1.48xG1.09
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