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Wednesday, 1 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Radnicki 1923

Radnicki 1923

Home
L
12
Full time
OFK Beograd

OFK Beograd

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

OFK Beograd33%
Radnicki 192333%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: OFK Beograd
Win probability
Radnicki 1923
33%
Draw
33%
OFK Beograd
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Radnicki 1923
34
OFK Beograd
34
Defence
Radnicki 1923
27
OFK Beograd
46
Momentum
Radnicki 1923
0
OFK Beograd
50
Danger (xG)
Radnicki 1923
0.90
OFK Beograd
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.62 xG for Radnicki 1923 and 1.10 xG for OFK Beograd — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with OFK Beograd holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.72 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Radnicki 1923's Defensive Stability (27) and OFK Beograd's (46) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Radnicki 1923)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (OFK Beograd)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Radnicki 1923)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (OFK Beograd)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Radnicki 1923Radnicki 1923
LD
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Radnicki 192333%
Draw33%
OFK Beograd33%

OFK Beograd leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Radnicki 1923 Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Radnicki 1923 take on OFK Beograd in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.62 for Radnicki 1923 and 1.10 for OFK Beograd. The gap of 0.52 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Radnicki 1923 0Draws 01 OFK Beograd
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
1 Jul 2026
Radnicki 1923
L12
OFK Beograd

Recent form

Radnicki 1923

Radnicki 1923

L
vs OFK Beograd
1 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Napredak
16 May 2026
00
OFK Beograd

OFK Beograd

L
vs Buducnost Podgorica
9 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Radnicki 1923
1 Jul 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Radnicki 1923 vs OFK Beograd?

GoalVio's model predicts Radnicki 1923 to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Radnicki 1923 vs OFK Beograd?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Radnicki 1923 vs OFK Beograd?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Radnicki 1923 vs OFK Beograd?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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