Radnicki 1923vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radnicki 1923 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.09 | 14.8% | 21.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 23.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.9% | 55.4% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40